Something you didn't postulate... Trump won in 2016 because too many people were unenthusiastic about Hillary and stayed home figuring there was no way Trump would win.
If Trump wins... kiss American democracy goodbye...
I find it incredibly difficult to understand why his supporters are attracted to him. His malignant narcissism is so unmistakable. I wrote the following article years ago.
https://malamuteman.medium.com/i-dont-get-it-e56fe2488603